Imagining Other


Power and Protest (social movements) in the 20th Century:

(4) The peace, anti-war and anti-nuclear movements:





Outline of this Section:


1. Atomic and Nuclear Weapons and Their Opponents:

2. Differences within the anti-nuclear movement

3. Achievements of the anti-nuclear movement?


Bookmarks (topics within this Section):


civil disobedience      



Greenham Common               


Non Proliferation Treaty

Spies for Peace           

Test Ban Treaty          



Links to other documents: Imagining Other Index Page     "Power and Protest": Social Movements Contents Page


Section 1: The Anti-War Movement   Section 3: Non-Violence                     Section 4: Peace and War Today             Section 5: Conclusion and References.                      Section 6: updates



1. Atomic and Nuclear Weapons and Their Opponents:

In 1945 a new kind of weapon, atom bombs, were used for the first time, on the two Japanese cities Hiroshima and Nagasaki.

[An atom bomb gets its explosive power from the splitting (fission) of a heavy atom – usually uranium. When an atom is split in this way (i.e. instantaneously) the amount of energy released is enormous, as matter is converted into energy. Einstein’s formula: e = mc2 shows that the amount of energy produced is found by multiplying the amount of mass by the square of the velocity of light!]

The highly controversial attack on Hiroshima, which killed tens of thousands with one bomb, was said at the time to be a way of bringing the Second World War to a close, by showing the Japanese (who, it was alleged, would otherwise have gone on fighting) that the Allies had a new weapon of incredible destructive power. Others have argued that the Japanese were already discussing surrender, and that the real purpose of dropping “the bomb” was to show the Russians how powerful the USA had become. It also seems likely that the bombing was a “test”: the two bombs used were of different design, and the two cities were different in terms of terrain: an ideal way of finding out the effects of the new weapon. A US government publication “United States Strategic Bombing Survey… July 1946” says: “The first and crucial question about the atomic bomb thus was answered practically and conclusively; atomic energy had been mastered for military purposes and the overwhelming scale of its possibilities had been demonstrated” (quoted in Kurlansky op cit p 142). Does this not indicate the real reason for dropping the bomb: to try it out?

What seemed to surprise even those who made the bomb was the long-lasting effect of radiation: to this day, there are deaths from radiation sickness and abnormal foetuses as a result of the exposure of the population to radiation.

The number of casualties from these two bombs was such that many in the west were appalled. In Hiroshima, a city of 250,000 people, tens of thousands were killed immediately. The Publisher’s Introduction to John Hersey’s classic 1946 account (see References) says that approximately 60,000 were killed immediately, and the total deaths were around 100,000. Other sources (e.g. give similar figures: 140,000 dead by the end of the year, 200,000 eventually. A Wikipedia article uses Encarta and gives 90,000 killed immediately, and 50,000 soon after, totaling 140,000.

A second bomb was dropped a few days later on Nagasaki, and 70,000 were dead by the end of the year (source: website cited above). It is argued that this did not give time for the Japanese to consider their reaction – it has also been said that they were showing signs of wanting to end the war.

There were protest marches and demonstrations against the new weapon, after the war; and when news emerged in the 1950s that an even more powerful explosion could be made using a fusion bomb, a mass movement against nuclear weapons began.


Update, Dec 2018:

The development and testing of the H-bomb merits a separate part of the story. A letter from Sue Rabbitt Roff in the Guardian 18th Dec 2018 relates how testing was carried out in Australia – and there was a nuclear physicist Sir Mark Oliphant – who she describes as ‘Australia and Britain’s Robert Oppenheimer – who ‘never spoke about the contamination’ of south Australia shortly before the 1956 Melbourne Olympics. Oliphant was a prime mover in Tube Alloys. The documents Roff used are in the UK National Archives, but other documents are being withdrawn…See

In Britain the campaign was called the Campaign for Nuclear Disarmament (CND). It got the backing of many writers and thinkers, including Bertrand Russell, the famous philosopher. In 1958 CND undertook what became an annual march, between the atomic research centre at Aldermaston, and London. The marches increased in size over the next decade or so, and numbers often reached up to 100,000 marchers (at one point it was said that 500,000 were on the march!).


These notes are being written on the fiftieth anniversary of this march, and there have been several newspaper articles remembering those days.

Alongside this, a number of people who believed in more radical direct action got together in a Direct Action Committee Against Nuclear War. The members of this organization were prepared to break the law – if only by sitting down in the highway and being arrested for obstruction – in order to draw attention to the immorality of nuclear weapons. Eventually the Committee of 100 was formed. Here the strategy was to use collective responsibility: when an action was planned, 100 individuals put their name to the publicity leaflet, so that no individual organizer could be arrested, but – in theory – police would have to arrest all 100! The strategy got more support than many (especially in CND, which was not too happy with breaking the law!) expected, and mass “sit-ins” were held. Again, these attracted well-known figures (Vanessa Redgrave the actress, Harold Pinter and John Osborne the playwrights, as well as Bertrand Russell – who was himself arrested even though he was over 80 at the time). Sit-ins were held in Whitehall, in Parliament Square, and outside London in the centre of cities.

There was always some public hostility to these demonstrations, (even to peaceful marches), and often the opposition was highly emotional, as I well remember! Perhaps it was as much the novelty of such highly visible protest that shocked people, as well as the deep hostility there often is to anti-war sentiment: demonstrators were frequently abused as being anti-patriotic, or communist! As a participant then and on the more recent marches against the Iraq war, I have been struck by how little hostile reaction these marches get nowadays: is the public more used to seeing protest marches? Or is there less opposition to the anti-war cause these days?

The most controversial aspect of CND policy was its call for “unilateral nuclear disarmament”: the argument was that to break the deadlock and bring about disarmament, someone had to start. Since such weapons were regarded as immoral, and possibly illegal (international law forbids the deliberate harming of civilians), it was felt that there was a strong case for persuading the British Government to give them up.

Of course, they were in no hurry to do this! Even when the Labour Party at its annual conference passed a resolution calling for unilateral nuclear disarmament, Hugh Gaitskell, the then leader, declared that such a policy would destroy the Labour Party and that he would “Fight and fight and fight again to save the party [he] loved.”

He called the unilateralists “pacifists and fellow travellers” (i.e. communists). Aneurin Bevan, too, having supported the campaign originally, decided when he became a Minister that calls for unilateral disarmament were “an emotional spasm”, and that to go to international disarmament talks having given up our own nuclear bomb would be to “go naked into the conference chamber”! 

The anti-nuclear movement was split over the whole question of whether to go on trying to persuade government, or whether direct action was the only method that would put real pressure on the authorities. The split within the movement was also to some extent along political lines: Labour Party members and probably most Communist Party members followed the path of peaceful protest, petitions, resolutions at party and union conferences, etc. Anarchists, and some of those on the far left supported direct action. Communists (pro-Soviet in those days) were seen as soft on the Russian bomb – hardliners regarded it as a “workers’ bomb”…

One of the most striking actions that came out of the direct action part of the movement involved the so-called “Spies for Peace”: in Britain a network of secret underground bunkers had been built, to shelter selected personnel (local and national government, civil servants, police, civil defence etc) in the event of a nuclear attack. The press had been given this information, but they were told that it was restricted, by D-notices, which meant that they could be prosecuted for publishing the information. Somehow supporters of the anti-nuclear movement got to hear about the bunkers, and published a leaflet detailing the locations and phone numbers of many of these bunkers – and the names of some of the people who would be sheltered. It was clear that the public at large were not to be sheltered against nuclear attack, and that the “government” after such an event would be largely un-elected.

It is not easy to build a network of underground bunkers in total secrecy, and, inevitably perhaps, the word got out. A short pamphlet was printed and handed out at the 1963 Aldermaston march. The day before, (April 11th) copies of the pamphlet were sent to “the national and regional press, top security men, assorted politicians, prominent members of the anti-war movement and others.”  (Quote from: “Resistance Shall Grow. The story of the ‘Spies for Peace’ and why they are important for your future.” This pamphlet was jointly published by the Independent Labour Party (ILP), London Federation of Anarchists, Solidarity, Syndicalist Workers’ Federation and members and supporters of the London Committee of 100, typeset by Freedom Press, the information also appeared in Anarchy No 29).

On the march, police tried to confiscate copies of the pamphlet. When a group of marchers tried to take a diversion to visit RSG6, which happened to be close to the route, the march organisers were alarmed and did their best – in vain – to stop them.

The episode caused an amusing outcry – with ludicrous TV interviews in which the interviewers were embarrassed because the “Spies” supporters were talking about “Official Secrets” (one channel showed a foreign leaflet to avoid being accused of betraying British secrets!).

Nowadays the bunkers seem to be abandoned, they are the subject of weekend newspaper magazine articles, and you can even visit some of them!

            The Kelvedon Hatch bunker, in Essex, and only 20 miles from London, looks like a rural bungalow. According to its publicity leaflet, it has blast screens, and

hides the entrance to a labyrinth of rooms 100 feet underground, encased in 10 feet thick reinforced concrete. Up to 600 “key personnel” would have taken

refuge there in the event of nuclear war, in order to “organize” whatever was left of the British population! It has its own water supply, electricity generators, a

BBC studio, radar room etc.. It can be visited: Telephone 01277 364883, or write to the Underground Nuclear Command Centre, Kelvedon Hall lane, Kelvedon

Hatch, CM15 0LB, saying when you would like to visit!

Update, July 2007: (from Richard Norton-Taylor in the Guardian)

With the change-over of British Prime Minister, from Blair to Brown, it is alarming to learn that one of the first things a new PM has to do is write a letter which will be opened in the event of a  nuclear attack, if the PM is not able to issue instructions. The letter (written after a briefing from the chief of the Defence staff) would be opened by the commander of a British Trident submarine, and it contains one of several instructions as to what the (by then maybe late?) PM believes should be done: “retaliate”, or “put yourself under the command of the US, if it is still there”, or “go to Australia”, or “use your own judgment”. Previous new PMs have been said to blanch at having to do this – John Major went home for the weekend to think about it; Tony Blair looked positively pale. The letter is destroyed when the PM leaves office.

Nice to know that every eventuality has been prepared for!

2. Differences within the anti-nuclear movement

As stated above, the anti-nuclear movement was supported by different people for a range of different reasons, some on principle, some religious and some political. However, broad differences in reasons for opposition such as the following would lead to different strategies being advocated:

- pacifists who would argue that all war and all preparation for war is wrong,

- non-pacifists who argued that the atom bomb is a different kind of weapon, immoral because of the inevitable effects on civilians, and intolerable because a nuclear war could destroy all life on earth (these were the majority)

- Christians were influential in the movement (e.g. Canon Collins, Donald Soper), and some were pacifist, others simply seeing nuclear weapons as indefensible

- communists and socialists who see nuclear weapons as a by-product of the capitalist system; some of these - a “hard-line” minority - opposed the American bomb but not the Soviet bomb (the Soviet Union, as a “workers’ state” needed to be protected against the threats from capitalist powers and NATO especially).

There were further differences over strategy:

- unilateralism: the main argument of CND was that Britain should lead the way in disarmament – the weapons are so evil they must be got rid of immediately, and a unilateral move might break the deadlock and encourage other countries to disarm. This unilateralism caused bitter controversy within the Labour Party (as mentioned earlier). Some feel that the policy made the party unelectable in the 1980s, and this memory is still causing friction over the renewal of Trident.

- there were many in the movement who (I feel) were not that concerned about sophisticated argument about whether unilateralism was feasible or not: they were simply frightened by nuclear weapons (unsurprisingly!). The impression I got on marches and talking to people involved, was that quite a lot of the support came from this group. If pressed, however, some might say they were in favour of multilateralism – all nuclear powers working together to get rid of the weapons. The movement then was purely a protest movement as far as they were concerned – raising the issue and demonstrating strength of feeling in order to get government to work with others on disarmament. See also section (c) below on international treaties.

- the aim of the European Campaign for Nuclear Disarmament (END) was to build on the move to unite Europe economically and eventually perhaps politically, and to create nuclear-free zone in Europe. This would surely be a step towards a nuclear-free world!


- socialists and communists obviously saw the main issue as changing the social and political order; many on the left support single-issue campaigns as part of their socialism: their aim would be to spread socialist ideas and gain support for their political outlook. This could cause bad feeling, either because anti-nuclear campaigners wanted to be non-political, or because they felt that the “lefties” were simply trying to “recruit” to their parties. (The same feeling persists when some lefties get involved in anti-racist or other issues…)

- anarchists’ overall strategy is to oppose whatever strengthens the state, and to work for the destruction of the state. Nuclear weapons serve a political function as well as a military one, by giving a state prestige (note the recent revelations about the true cause of the fire at Windscale: Prime Minister Macmillan wanted to have a close relationship with the United States, and to share their expertise on nuclear matters see "Polemic". To anarchists, “war is the health of the state” as Randolph Bourne said (see  i.e. it strengthens the hold that the ruling class has over ordinary people – and of course ordinary people are the main victims in war

- as noted, there was strong opposition to testing because of the environmental and health dangers it caused. (This probably helped to build up the green movement - see my forthcoming notes on The Environmental Movement). There is a paradox here, since once atmospheric testing was banned, it seems to me, the movement lost some of its “steam”

Finally, there differences over tactics:

- the majority, and those in the “establishment”, whether that was as members of the Church , or MPs, trade union leaders etc, believed the main aim of the movement was to put pressure on Parliament. This would be done by persuading public opinion to oppose nuclear weapons – and this had to be done in a reasoned, peaceful and law-abiding way.

- others believed that such methods were too slow, and Parliament could easily ignore such pressure. Civil disobedience (even though it might alienate the public) would put greater pressure on the state: for example by having large numbers of demonstrators arrested for minor offences (the most common was obstructing the highway, by sitting down and refusing to move on) – those arrested might refuse to pay any fines imposed and then be put in jail. If enough people did this, there would not be enough prisons to put them in! Civil disobedience was also practiced by the anti-war and pacifist part of the peace movement, and it has ties with Gandhi’s methods in the anti-colonial struggle (see forthcoming notes on The Anti-Colonial Movement). Civil disobedience also raised deep questions about the extent to which we as citizens are expected to obey laws we do not agree with (see Held 1972, and Zashin 1972 for example).

- alongside these it has to be stressed that discussion of deterrence and defense became a sophisticated field during the 20th century, and (as Carter suggests with the INF treaty discussed immediately below) peace researchers played a crucial part in persuading governments to consider modifications to their outlook.

3. Achievements of the anti-nuclear movement?

Perhaps the biggest controversy over the anti-nuclear movement is whether it has achieved anything at all.

There have been international treaties, several of which could be seen as resulting from the early anti-nuclear campaigns:

A Partial Test-Ban Treaty was signed in 1963 (but not by France and China), although it did not stop the spread of weapons, and testing could be done underground. The testing of nuclear weapons by exploding them in the atmosphere had long been condemned because of the effects of radiation, and popular protest grew because of this danger. Arguments were presented to show that children were being born with deformities in areas that had been exposed to “fallout” – and that the incidence of cancer was higher in such areas. A significant part of these protests was the involvement of native peoples whose land has been taken for testing (Nevada, Hawaii). Recently, scientists have found evidence to suggest that service-men who were involved in H-bomb tests on Christmas Island in the South Pacific in the late 1950s have been affected: many have cancer, and genetic defects have been found. See: 

The fact that there was an agreement to stop atmospheric testing was surely a positive step, and the anti-nuclear movement can claim at least some of the credit, I

believe. On the other hand, cynics argue that it is still possible to test weapons not underground, or by means of computer simulations, and the nuclear powers only agreed to stop testing when they had other methods at their disposal… As noted, France did not sign, and in fact took up a hostile stance: in 1985 the Rainbow Warrior – Greenpeace’s ship - was sunk by French agents off Australia, when it was about to sail to protest against French nuclear testing… Evidence perhaps of the effectiveness of protest in worrying governments!

In 1968 a Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty was agreed, after “active diplomacy’ on the part of Sweden (Carter op cit p 62), after pressure from the Swedish people. (Yet Sweden, it seems, was hedging its bets by continuing nuclear research while at the same time pushing for a treaty…) Canada also played an important part in getting this agreement, and here too the peace movement had been strong. On the other hand, the governments who initiated this agreement had an interest in preventing an “unbalanced” spread of weapons. Countries that have not signed the treaty (India, Pakistan, Israel, North Korea) can argue that it creates a “club” of those powers who had nuclear weapons first, and excludes – without reason – others who might want to join.


It can be argued that the NPT is pretty ineffectual, since there are many more nuclear powers now than in the early 1960s. Moreover, there are clearly dual standards at work: whilst Israel has nuclear weapons, with no protest from the west, any possibility of Iran or North Korea getting them is met with calls for boycotts or even military attacks! On the other hand, at least most of the world’s nuclear powers (US, UK, France, Russia, People’s Republic of China), and a total of 189 countries, have signed up to an agreement not to spread these weapons: this surely has to be a positive fact? And it does mean that attempts are made to control the spread of plutonium and other aspects of nuclear technology. Recently South Africa abandoned the pursuit of nuclear weapons, and of course Iran and Korea both claim their research is for peaceful purposes…

Having said this, we now know that the early stages of “peaceful research” into nuclear power in Britain were nothing of the sort: Calder Hall (later re-named as Windscale and now as Sellafield) was producing materials for weapons as well as generating electricity. I feel very strongly about this, on a personal note, because at the time I was a youngster, concerned (as were my parents) about “the bomb” and it seemed to me exciting that nuclear power could be used for peaceful purposes.  The Queen’s speech on opening the power station emphasised the peaceful purposes. We were lied to. So maybe Iran and North Korea are lying too?!

As if the early cover-up at Calder Hall were not enough, the amount of radiation that was released in the Windscale accident may have been up to twice what was announced, and recent revelations suggest that the drive for a British H-bomb led to alterations in the design of the containers for the fuel in the reactor at Windscale, which in turn led to the disastrous fire of 1957. This fire was the worst incident there has been apart from Chernobyl: we came near to a “nuclear meltdown” or even an explosion, and radiation was spread over a large area. See:

On the other hand, with regard to the NPT, since there are more countries now with nuclear weapons than there were when CND was at its height, then whether the movement can claim much in the way of achievements is debatable. In terms of the number of people who were involved in the movement, and the number who were prepared to go to the extent of going on protest marches and even getting arrested, the anti-nuclear movement was clearly significant.

Carter notes that in the First Wave, it was often the personality of leaders such as Khruschev and Kennedy, and later Gorbachev, that played an important part in getting agreements (op cit p 78). Third world governments pushed for an end to testing, as did a number of prominent scientists. She argues that the NPT was signed after the first wave of the campaign against nuclear weapons had begun to decline, but it did alter consciousness about testing and weapons, and made sure that concern was reflected in the media. The first wave also left behind organisations such as the International Peace Research Association which laid a foundation for a revival of the movement in the ‘80s. (Carter op cit p 79).

When the movement revived in the ‘80s, it was largely as a result of the placing of missiles (Cruise, Pershing) throughout Europe. As a result, the campaign took on a more “European” flavour – hence the growth of the European campaign (END) mentioned above. A key figure in this organisation was E.P. Thompson the historian. Others whose names became well-known were Joan Ruddock and Bruce Kent. As in the first phase, there were many small organisations involved (local CND groups for example) and Carter suggests that this was a strength of the movement.

Achievements of this phase include:

- in what Carter calls the Second Wave in Europe, around late 1981, there were literally millions of people on demonstrations world-wide (this includes unofficial demonstrations in the Soviet bloc – the Soviet Union always claimed that it was opposed to nuclear weapons and organized official protests, which we can hardly count as part of a social movement!). In 1981, marches comprising tens of thousands each, and in a few cities hundreds of thousands each, took place in London, Bonn, Oslo, Comiso, Rome, Amsterdam, Copenhagen, Bern. In 1983 – when cruise missiles were about to be deployed - there were huge demonstrations in West Germany (up to a million people), 600,000 in Rome, up to 400,000 in London. (Carter op cit p 121).

- the abandonment of plans to build a “neutron bomb” in the late 1970s: this was a weapon that would destroy people by radiation without damaging buildings! However, I am not sure whether the outcry about such a weapon was what stopped it, or that it became not feasible to construct…

- in 1981 discussions began on reducing intermediate-range nuclear forces, and the INF treaty was signed in 1987. This “provided for the removal of all intermediate and shorter-range missiles from Europe, and for strict verification of the destruction of the missiles” (Carter op cit p 149). However, as Carter points out (op cit p 111) this was part of a “dual-track” strategy for the Americans: they were still producing and distributing the missiles – presumably the main aim was not to allow the Russians to gain too much of a lead in this particular field… It is also a matter of dispute as to what brought about the treaty: western governments argued that their build-up of missiles had pushed the USSR to spend more than it could afford on counter-measures; peace campaigners and researchers could claim that they had influenced Gorbachev, with concepts such as “minimum nuclear deterrence, or nuclear sufficiency” together with the idea that conventional defense should be increased, and that unilateral measures could lead to multilateral agreements.

- the demonstrations and protests did eventually help to remove cruise missiles from Britain, and to stop the locating of Pershing missiles in Europe.

- Greenham Common. One of the most dramatic movements connected with the anti-nuclear struggle was the Women’s Peace camp at Greenham Common. Throughout the ‘80s there were women camped at the base, despite the freezing cold and harassment by opponents together with the attempts of the police to persuade them to go. Some climbed over the fence, cut the wire or pulled it down in places. Sometimes they danced on the missile silos! In December 1982, the women formed a human chain to embrace the base, involving some 30,000 women. Other similar camps and protests have been set up, e.g. at Comiso (Italy), Viborg (Denmark), and also at Molesworth and Faslane in Britain (Carter op cit p 129 ff). I am in the process of writing more notes on Greenham, see: Non-violence


- there were therefore many peace groups world-wide, (some 1,400), and it has been called the fastest growing social movement in recent history. In late 1981 it was estimated that 2,500,000 people had taken part in demonstrations world-wide against nuclear weapons. In the early ‘80s it is likely that a majority of people were opposed to the NATO missiles. Up to 40% (according to opinion polls) at one point supported unilateral nuclear disarmament. However the figure most of the time has been nearer 30 – 30% (Carter op cit p 139). The British Labour Party voted for unilateral nuclear disarmament in 1982 – though this was dropped later on as it came to be seen as an electoral liability, especially as it was associated with the presence in the party of “far left” ideas… Other parties such as the German SDP were also heavily influenced by the anti-nuclear campaign.


- on the other hand, some governments have been so alarmed at the anti-nuclear demonstrators that they have resorted to desperate measures: thus the French government was behind the sinking of a ship belonging to Greenpeace (the Rainbow Warrior) in 1985, when it was about to set sail to protest against French nuclear testing.


- finally we must not forget that throughout the world there are native peoples whose land has been taken or used for nuclear testing, and these peoples have been involved in opposition too: in Nevada, Hawaii and Christmas Island (?).

Again, it seems likely that the main effect the movement has had has been to raise public awareness and to educate people about nuclear weapons. It may also, as carter suggests, have had the effect of “opening up” and democratising discussion of defence policy. To be realistic, any concrete steps taken by governments to reduce their nuclear arms have almost always been expedient in some way, and not done for reasons of principle, even though they may have been pressurised by public opinion to some degree.


In conclusion, an optimistic appraisal of the whole anti-war movement would argue that in part, the movement helped to push the US in deciding to retreat from Vietnam; contributed to Israel’s withdrawal from Lebanon 1982; and the Czech resistance to the Soviet invasion in 1968 made things more difficult for the Russians, and prevented more drastic action being taken against the population.


Anti-nuclear Movement extra notes:


6. Total estimated nuclear stockpile: (bombs ready to be used, whether in planes, submarines or missiles): [Source: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, (cited with article by Richard Rhodes, Pulitzer prize-winning author of The Making of the Atomic Bomb, in Guardian, 06.08.02]

US:                              8,000 (or 12,070 according to New Internationalist, August 1999)

Russia:                         8,400 (or 22,500!!)

Britain:                                       185 (or 200)

France:                                       348 (or 450)

China:                             410 (or 400)

Israel:                               60 – 100 (or 200)

Pakistan:                           30 – 50

India:                                30 – 90

            In addition, NATO planes carrying nuclear weapons are to be found in: Belgium, Greece, Italy, the Netherlands, Turkey.


7. Deterrence and war:

More importantly, although we have not had a nuclear war, we have had plenty of war:

since 1945 (the end of World War II) and by the 1980:

- there were 237 wars

- ‘proxy’ wars rather than direct conflict between super-powers

- in the 1980s 38 wars were going on, and 200 others had been fought since 1945.

- at least 20 million people have been killed, in over 100 conflicts

- 95% of the casualties in modern warfare are civilians (source: Institute for Law and Peace).

- a new war starts every three months, but since 1945 no war has actually been declared!!

- on a typical day 12 wars are being fought and not a single day has passed when no war has been going on

- 90 states have been involved in war, on the territory of 80 states

- major wars ( = more than 1,000 deaths per year) – of which there have been 120 – have killed 20 million…

- only two nations have no armies (Costa Rica and Iceland)

- over 2 million soldiers are deployed overseas

- since the second world war, the main victims of war and armed conflict have been in the less developed world.

- about 45 million people every year are affected by war (Hilary Benn).


8. The quantity of arms in the world: The Gaia Peace Atlas, ed. By F. Barnaby (Pan 1988)

- there are enough nuclear weapons (some 12,000 in the NATO and Warsaw Pact countries) to kill everyone on earth 12 times.

- the US alone has enough chemical weapons to kill everyone 300 times

- we now have drones, more sophisticated weapons

- at the end of the cold war NATO had some 1.9 million troops; the Warsaw Pact had 2.7 million.

- together the military budgets of NATO (which requires a massive budget deficit in the US) and the Warsaw Pact make up 75% of the world expenditure on arms.

- total world spending on the military is $1,204 billion per annum (2006 figure) according to the World Disarmament Campaign. The UK contributes $52.9 billion (£30 billion), which is nearly five times as much as is spent (by all countries) on overseas aid. It is 50 times what is being spent tackling climate change. Oxfam and UNICEF estimate that to provide education for every child in the world would cost $8 billion a year – a fraction (four days’ worth) of what is spent on arms. Vastly more is spent on currency speculation…

- the five permanent members of the UN Security Council – which is supposed to “formulate plans for a system for the regulation of armaments” (Art. 26) – account for 80% of the world arms trade.

- the arms industry is the second largest industry in the world, after oil…

- every year governments spend over $1 trillion on “defence” (the figure was $1.035 trillion in 2004) and only 60 billion on aid. (Peace Matters, PPU, Summer 2005).

- from 1998 to 2001 the US, Britain and France earned more from arms sales to the developing world than they gave in aid, (Oxfam).


George Monbiot (2009):

- MoD budget is £38 bn, more than any other department except health and education, and equivalent of 12% of state spending

- service charges on the MoD’s private finance initiative funding: £1.3 bn – more than the entire budget of the department of energy and climate change

- MoD’s budget for capital charges and depreciation: £9.6 bn – twice the budget of the department for international development


9. The arms trade – and some consequences of it:

Total arms sales/exports in 2003 ($ billion) (Leo Hickman, Guardian 12.09.05):

US: 13.6; UK: 4.7; Russia: 3.4; Ukraine: 1.5; France: 1.2; Germany: 1.2


British arms sales:

- go to 19 of the 20 countries the government has identified as “countries of concern”, according to its own weapons sales report (July 2007). These countries include Saudi Arabia, Israel, Colombia, China and Russia. (2007)



The Al Yamamah deal with Saudi Arabia has been criticised because of the regime’s appalling human rights record, and the fact that it is also such a repressive regime. (Amnesty International) As early as 2003, it was revealed that BAE had a £60 million slush fund to provide gifts and prostitutes to Saudi officials – such as Prince Turki bin Nasser – in order to smooth the way for the contracts Mrs. Thatcher had negotiated. This deal, made in 1985, was to sell 72 Tornado and 30 Hawk warplanes to Saudi Arabia. It was Britain’s biggest ever arms deal, worth £43 billion in total. In 1993 the Saudis ordered another 48 Tornados, and in 2005 they ordered 72 Typhoons (Eurofighters). It has been alleged that Mrs. Thatcher’s son Mark received commission on the deal (David Leigh and Rob Evans, Guardian 28.10.06).


10. Liberal interventionism:

- “The new interventionism may differ from the old imperialism in not seeking to settle or rule countries. But it is the same in believing that western values can (and should) be imposed on often reluctant states through military occupation.” (Quote?)

- moreover, it is clear that in Iraq, for example, western interests intend staying for a long time – till all the oil has been extracted at least!

- the US will gain yet more military bases, and it will have the largest embassy complex in the world…

- the Editor of the Lancet, Dr Richard Horton, points out (letters, G 140208) that “liberty” is “a fundamental value that transcends the type of political system we put in place.” Amartya Sen has pointed this out, he says, along with J.S. Mill and Isaiah Berlin. Democracy can exist without liberty, but human development can only occur through freedom.


11. Recent moves for more Treaties:

Arms Trade Treaty:  2013, in force from Dec 2014.

- 89 states ratified and 44 have signed but not ratified

Treaty to Ban nuclear Weapons:

- 123 nations agreed (Oct 2016) to start negotiations on a treaty to ban nuclear weapons. - - the nuclear-armed states opposed the proposal (along with Australia) – 38 opposed and 16 abstained.

- to hold a conference March 2017 to negotiate a ‘legally binding instrument to prohibit nuclear weapons, leading towards their total elimination.’

- for two decades there has been paralysis in multilateral disarmament negotiations. Other destructive weapons (cluster bombs, landmines... chemical weapons) are banned – nuclear must be also. 

- 122 nations have signed (as at 2019)


12. Conclusion:

Overall achievements of the peace movement:

- public opinion and government accountability (governments have to listen to popular view before going to war)

- treaties and international law (see (*) below)

- declining Violence in the world (and at home):

Steven Pinker: The Better Angels of Our nature (Allen Lane 2011) shows a steady decline in violence in the world

James Sharpe: A Fiery and Furious People Random House 2016) shows that there has been a decline in violence in the UK. We mustn’t oversimplify: the middle ages were not savage, and there is still much violence in books, films and computer games. Note the Trump/Gingrich line that ‘people feel’ there is more violence and ‘theoreticians’ can be ignored. Also: in 2012 as many people were killed in the UK between 2,000 and 2010 by bee stings as by terrorism.


(*) Notes on International/intergovernmental courts:


The International Court of Justice – set up 1945 on the basis of the UN Charter, Is the primary judicial branch of the UN.

193 states parties

Settles legal disputes submitted to it by states and Security Council can be authorized to enforce Court rulings. But the permanent powers have a veto... When US was declared to have violated international law with covert war in Nicaragua, US withdrew...

Covers ‘contentious’ cases (between states) and ‘advisory’ (dealing with UN bodies etc)



Ruled that Serbia was not responsible for the Srebrenica (in Bosnia) massacre in 1995 – though it did condemn Serbia for failing to prevent the massacre (a much lesser charge), by not using its influence over the Bosnian Serb army. [The Bosnian Serbs were not under the control (or jurisdiction I presume) of Serbia or Yugoslavia (Belgrade).]

The court also ruled that Serbia was not obliged to pay reparations to Bosnia, and that Yugoslavia had no troops in Bosnia.



[To inject a degree of controversy!]: John Laughland, (conservative, Euro-sceptic, who believes the International War Crimes Tribunal to be illegitimate, and opposed the western opposition to Milosevic) author of “Travesty: the Trial of Slobodan Milosevic and the Corruption of International Justice (Guardian 28.02.08). After 2 years and 300 witnesses, the prosecution never managed to produce conclusive evidence against its star defendant” – NATO charges of genocide turned out to be war propaganda… However, as the court has now ruled that Yugoslavia was not responsible for the Srebrenica massacre, “the main plank of the case for intervention has gone…”


The International Criminal Court:


124 member states, (Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court 1998. 120 voted for, 7 against including China, Iraq, Israel, Libya, Qatar, US, Yemen. A state that ratifies the3 statute becomes a member, but Burundi, South Africa and Gambia have since [2016] withdrawn...) entered into force 2002, with establishment of ICC.

Based in The Hague


An intergovernmental organisation and tribunal – governed by Assembly of States Parties. US, Israel and Sudan have not become states parties and have no legal representation. It can prosecute individuals for the international crimes of genocide, crimes against humanity, and war crimes.


It complements existing national judicial systems and can therefore only exercise its jurisdiction when certain conditions are met .e.g. national courts not willing to prosecute, or when UN Security Council or individual states refer investigations to it.



1919 Paris Peace Conference first suggestions – again in 1939 – ad hoc tribunals after WW II – need for permanent institution à International Law Commission drafted statutes, but cold war stopped agreement – 1994 ILC presents draft statute for International Criminal Court – many discussions (NGOs involved)

Prior to 2002, ad hoc tribunals had been set up for former Yugoslavia and Rwanda.

To date, 39 individuals have been referred – all Africans...



First case: Ugandan rebel leader Joseph Kony...

2009 Thomas Lubanga tried (G 260109, Chris McGreal). Congolese militia leader, charged with conscripting child soldiers.

Sudan’s leaders charged over killings in Darfur led to international dispute



Human rights groups have criticised prosecutors in the Congo case for limiting charges to child soldier recruitment when there were mass killings, torture, rape etc in the Ituri region of north-east Congo. (This was a battleground for fighting between Congolese forces and Rwandan and Ugandan militias and armies after their invasion of 1998.)


Based on the doctrine of (liberal) interventionism. ICC is not investigating western bombing of Iraq (after 1991 war), NATO bombing of Bosnian Serbs in 1995, and Yugoslavia in 1999, though it is investigating local wars in Africa



For References etc see Section 5.